Sunday, August 7, 2011

Reliance Power Limited

LTP 103.35, BUY ON DIPS AND ACCUMULATE MORE ON FURTHER DIPS

Saturday, July 2, 2011

Educomp Solutions Limited

Buy on dips and accumulate more on dips LTP 396.75

Thursday, June 16, 2011

Sunday, November 8, 2009

Friday, October 30, 2009

India Cements Ltd. ( LTP 110.45 )

INDIA CEMENTS Ltd. - Safe Investment at 110/ in the current market situation Because Good Dividend Paying Company; Every Year 20% Dividend giving and Company having Good reserves; Book Value at 115/- and Good Land Bank; Company EPS for 2008-09 was 16/- and Estimated EPS for 2009-10 is 25/-.

Stock is trading Equal to Book Value and Trading at P/E 4 as per this year EPS. Industry PE is 10; if we take PE 10 it will go 250/- within 6 months time. 1 to 3 months time its will reach 175/-.

Book Value 115/-; EPS 16/- for 2008-09 and Estimating EPS for this year 2009-10 is 25/-. Company Given Net profit of 281 Cr for the half year 2009-10 with 1955 Cr Turnover. As per this EPS 20/- Annualized. Next 6 months Profit will zoom So EPS for this year 25/-

Share Holding Pattern:

Promoters Holding 27.7%, Institutions 45%; Private Corporates 13% , Public only 9% and Others 5%

INDIA CEMENTS Ltd doing very good, The India Cements Ltd was established in 1946 and the first plant was setup at Sankarnagar in Tamilnadu in 1949 . Since then it has grown in stature to seven plants spread over Tamilnadu and Andhra Pradesh . The capacities as on March 2002 have increased multifold to 9 million tons per annum. Company having Plants at SANKARNAGAR; SANKARI; DALAVOI; CHILAMKUR; YERRAGUNTLA; MALKAPUR; VISHNUPURAM; in AP and Tamilnadu.

* The Company is the largest producer of cement in South India.
* The Company's plants are well spread with three in Tamilnadu and four in Andhra Pradesh which cater to all major markets in South India and Maharashtra.
* The Company is the market leader with a market share of 28% in the South. It aims to achieve a 35% market share in the near future. The Company has access to huge limestone resources and plans to expand capacity by de-bottlenecking and optimisation of existing plants as well as by acquisitions.
* The Company has a strong distribution network with over 10,000 stockists of whom 25% are dedicated.
* The Company has well established brands- Sankar Super Power, Coromandel Super Power and Raasi Super Power.
* Regional offices in all southern states and Maharasthra offices/representative in every district.

The Company has privately placed 2,07,89,000 equity shares at a price of Rs.285/- per share (including premium of Rs.275/- per share) by way of Qualified Institutional Placement in December 2007.

The company through its Special Purpose vehicle M/s Coromandel Electric Co Ltd has commissioned a (gas based) captive power plant at Ramanathapuram for a capacity of 17.4 MW and the same has started supplying power from the month of November 2004.

Company have another deep value in India Cements, it is the owner of Chennai Super Kings. That will itself give solid returns in 10 years from IPL. Buy India Cements and DCHL to own part of IPL cricket team franchises.. Value unlocking will happen when IPOs come separately for these franchises.;

Positive Highlights


1) Company doing very good; EPS 25/- Expecting for 2009-10;.

2) Mumbai Bulls and Operators are accumulating at current price. Because Company Strong Fundamentals. And available at very cheep price.

3) Company having Good Land Bank in Tamilanadu and Aandhrapradesh and Company having Good Reserves; Book Value at 115/-.

4) Good Dividend paying Company; Every year 20%.

5) Company given very good results EPS 16/- PE only 6 for year 2008-09;

6) Company Projected EPS for 2009-2010 is 25/-as per this PE just 4

7) Lot of expansion plans in Coming soon.

8) Very good future for this company

Saturday, September 26, 2009

MIC Electronics Ltd.

Buy on dips around 30/35.

An Explosive Growth Story

Among the multitude of issues that we face today, the single biggest issue on the radar screen of developed economies is global warming and on the list of developing economies is energy stability. These issues are being tacked from both the supply side and the demand side, using a set of complex mechanisms that involve governments, corporations and individuals. On the supply side, we have incentives for renewable energy that has spurred massive investment in power generation using alternative sources of energy. We also have the Clean Development Mechanism for promoting such generation in developing economies by charging high-polluting companies in developed economies.

On the demand side, there is an increased thrust on energy audit, energy reduction and energy saving devices. While the supply-side initiatives have received a lot of press and attention over the last decade, the effort on the demand side has been making quiet progress.

My stock pick for this month is based on this increased focus on energy saving devices. And here, LED-based lighting is going to play a big role. Light Emitting Diodes can now be used to produce the most energy efficient lighting devices. While a typical metal halide street lamp produces 30 lumens/Watt and a CFL produces 60 lumens/Watt, LED street lights can now produce upwards of 90 lumens/Watt (Lumens is a unit of light energy produced and Watt is a unit of energy consumed). Also the life of an LED is far longer than a sodium vapor lamp or CFL (Avg life of 5y vs 2y).

So, where is the catch? Well, LED lighting is about 1.5 times as expensive as CFLs and twice as expensive as metal halide lamps. Which is why, I have discounted the short-sighted individual/consumer as a potential buyer for this product. The opportunity is in street lighting, lighting for advertising displays, railway lighting and industrial lighting. A municipality or a corporation can afford to pay extra today to save 50% electricity consumption (and for double the life) for all its street lighting.

Already cities like Toronto are moving to a full-scale replacement of regular street lights with LED-based lights. India is not far behind, with quite a few municipalities testing out the lights under pilot schemes. And the opportunity is massive...Any idea how many street lights a city like Delhi or Mumbai has?! As per my first-cut estimates, the LED industry stands to make anywhere between USD 5bn and USD 10bn from street lights in India alone!

A company which can take advantage of this new big thing needs to fulfill two requirements - one, it should have the necessary technology, R&D and manufacturing expertise to be at the forefront of this exciting development. And two, LED-based lighting should NOT be the core business of the company today! Why? Coz the LED lighting industry will take a couple of years to develop and a company betting all its chips on this today could see itself being wiped out before it can rake in all the big bucks.

MIC Electronics (MIC) is a Hyderabad-based LED video display manufacturer. It makes most of its current revenues from this business line. The LED video outdoor display market in India has been booming with increased outdoor advertising spend. MIC had a 300cr turnover, 85cr EBITDA and 65cr for FY08. For the nine months ended Mar 09, the corresponding numbers were 196cr turnover, 68cr EBITDA and 52cr PAT. With 24cr debt (as of Jun08) on balance sheet, the company looks attractive at its 291cr market cap (P/E of 4 and EV/EBITDA of 2.6). The company's management seems very competent - you can check this out on their website.

And all this with only its core business!

Now throw in the LED lighting angle to the above business and we have a very compelling story - a company with a strong, well-managed core LED video business, which is poised to take advantage of the anticipated boom in LED based lighting. MIC Electronics has, over the last 2 years, developed various LED-based lighting products - Street lights, Railway & Industrial lights and LED lights powered by solar panels.

This is one of the better technology product stories originating from Indian shores. And funnily enough, it does not seem expensive like most tech stocks on the NASDAQ. MIC Electronics is a very attractive stock at current market levels and is an explosive-growth story.

Sunday, September 20, 2009

Arvind Ltd.

Buy / Accumulate on dips around 30/32.